As of today, a little more than 200 days before the election, the Real Clear Politics polling averages in the battleground states show Obama up in nearly all of them:
Colorado – Obama up 13 points
Wisconsin – Obama up 12 points
Michigan – Obama up 11 points
Ohio – Obama up 9 points
Nevada – Obama up 7 points
Pennsylvania – Obama up 6 points
Missouri – Romney up 5 points
Arizona – Romney up 5 points
Florida – Obama up 4 points
Virginia – Obama up 4 points
New Hampshire – Obama up 4 points
Iowa – Obama up 3 points
North Carolina – Obama up 2 points
If the election were held today:
Obama – 347 electoral votes
Romney – 191 electoral votes
Even if we were to give Romney every state that Obama leads by less than 5 points:
Obama – 280 electoral votes
Romney – 258 electoral votes
When I hear Republicans say, “There is no way President Obama gets re-elected,” I marvel at the power of wishful thinking. Of course he can win. And he very well may.




